All corrections
www.astralcodexten.com/p/record-low-crime-rates-are-real-not
1 correction found
1
Claim
They find random people and ask whether they were the victims of crimes in the past year.
Correction
The NCVS does not ask about victimization over “the past year” as its core reference period; BJS states annual NCVS estimates are based on crimes experienced during the prior 6 months (excluding the interview month).
Full reasoning
This sentence describes the NCVS as asking respondents whether they were victims of crimes “in the past year.”
BJS’s own NCVS methodology description contradicts that characterization:
- BJS explains that **annual NCVS estimates are based on crimes experienced during the prior 6 months (excluding the interview month)**, and that households are interviewed **every 6 months**.
So while NCVS produces *annual* statistics, the survey’s core victimization reference period is not simply “the past year” as written here.
1 source
- National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) | Bureau of Justice Statistics
Annual NCVS estimates are based on the number and characteristics of crimes respondents experienced during the prior 6 months, not including the month in which they were interviewed... households remain in the sample for 3½ years... interviewed every 6 months.