All corrections
x.com/slatestarcodex/status/2024838082923753823
1 correction found
1
Claim
published as a preprint coauthored with Tyler Cowen and several other economists
Correction
The relevant preprint derived from the high-karma pro-lower-p(doom) entry (“AGI and the EMH…”) is authored by Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin, and J. Zachary Mazlish—Tyler Cowen is not a coauthor (he’s only acknowledged for feedback).
Full reasoning
The post claims the (high-karma) pro-lower-p(doom) entry was later published as a preprint **coauthored** with Tyler Cowen.
However, the preprint associated with the contest-winning/pro-lower-p(doom) essay **“AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years”** is titled **“Transformative AI, existential risk, and real interest rates”**.
- On the preprint’s title page, the listed authors are **Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin, and J. Zachary Mazlish**—Tyler Cowen is not listed as an author.
- Tyler Cowen appears only in the acknowledgements (“We thank … Tyler Cowen … for feedback”), which is not coauthorship.
Therefore, the statement that the preprint was “coauthored with Tyler Cowen” is contradicted by the preprint itself and by the contest winner listing of the essay’s authors.
2 sources
- Transformative AI, existential risk, and real interest rates (Oct 2025) — Chow, Halperin, Mazlish
Title page lists authors as “Trevor Chow; Basil Halperin; J. Zachary Mazlish”. Tyler Cowen is mentioned only in acknowledgements for feedback, not as a coauthor.
- Announcing the Winners of the 2023 Open Philanthropy AI Worldviews Contest — Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy)
Lists first-prize essay “AGI and the EMH…” as “by Basil Halperin, Zachary Mazlish, and Trevor Chow” (no Tyler Cowen listed as an author).